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Today, Saturday 10 October
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Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
87%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
84%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
89%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
86%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis· Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: Villa Dalmine win 41%, Draw 33%, Liniers win 26%.
Villa Dalmine host Liniers in the Primera B Metropolitana, Argentina.
Our model gives Villa Dalmine a 41% chance of winning, a draw 33% and Liniers 26%.
The model expects Villa Dalmine to score 1.0 goals and Liniers 0.8.
Villa Dalmine have won 1 of their last 6 league matches; Liniers have won 2 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Primera B Metropolitana, before kick-off.
Villa Dalmine sit 5th with 64 points; Liniers sit 17th with 43. A gap of 23 in goal difference, in favour of Villa Dalmine.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | +17 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 63 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 43 |
| 17 | Liniers | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 41 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | +29 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | +25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | +17 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Villa Dalmine at home and Liniers away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 | 0.80 | 1 | 4 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 | 0.83 | 2 | 5 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 2 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 2 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 1.40 | 2 | 1 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 1.33 | 2 | 1 |
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 |
Villa Dalmine at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Liniers away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Villa Dalmine | Liniers |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 17th |
| Points per game | 1.68 | 1.13 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
Context onlyFacts pointing the other way. The model doesn't read them.
Evidence pointing the other way.
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| – |
| +17 |
| 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | +14 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 55 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martín Burzaco | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 44 |
| 15 | Deportivo Merlo | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 43 |
| 17 | Liniers | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -6 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown DE Adrogue | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -13 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 38 | – | – | – | – | – | -37 | 15 |