Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Italy - Serie B
Virtus Entella v Juve StabiaHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Virtus Entella win 42%, Draw 28%, Juve Stabia win 30%.
Virtus Entella host Juve Stabia in the Serie B, Italy.
Our model gives Virtus Entella a 42% chance of winning, a draw 28% and Juve Stabia 30%.
The model expects Virtus Entella to score 1.3 goals and Juve Stabia 1.1.
Virtus Entella have won 1 of their last 5 league matches; Juve Stabia have won 1 of 5.
Top factors
- Virtus Entella sit 14th with 5 points; Juve Stabia sit 17th with 5 points.
- Virtus Entella have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches; Juve Stabia 5 from 5.
- At home, Virtus Entella have taken 1 point from their last 2; away, Juve Stabia have taken 4 from their last 3.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
- Virtus Entella win
- 42% · price 2.06
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Juve Stabia win30% · price 3.74 Over 1.5 goals72% · price 1.34 Over 2.5 goals47% · price 2.09 Both teams score50% · price 1.85 Expected goals (our model)Virtus Entella 1.3, Juve Stabia 1.1 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Serie B, before kick-off.
Virtus Entella sit 14th with 5 points; Juve Stabia sit 17th with 5. A gap of 4 in goal difference, in favour of Virtus Entella.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 13th Arezzo6 points from 5 games · goal difference -7
- 14th Virtus Entella5 points from 5 games · goal difference +1
- 15th Cremonese5 points from 5 games · goal difference -2
- 16th Vicenza Virtus5 points from 5 games · goal difference -3
- 17th Juve Stabia5 points from 5 games · goal difference -3
- 18th Sampdoria4 points from 6 games · goal difference -7
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 13 | Arezzo | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Juve Stabia | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Palermo13 points from 5 games · goal difference +5
- 2nd Sudtirol11 points from 5 games · goal difference +6
- 3rd Mantova11 points from 5 games · goal difference +5
- 4th Avellino10 points from 6 games · goal difference +4
- 5th Modena10 points from 5 games · goal difference +4
- 6th Ascoli10 points from 5 games · goal difference +3
- 7th Hellas Verona7 points from 5 games · goal difference +3
- 8th Cesena7 points from 5 games · goal difference +1
- 9th Benevento7 points from 5 games · goal difference +1
- 10th Pisa7 points from 5 games · goal difference 0
- 11th Padova7 points from 5 games · goal difference -1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewat Cremonese19 Sept 2026 · Serie B · Away0–0
WWonat Pisa11 Sept 2026 · Serie B · Away4–1
DDrewv Vicenza Virtus6 Sept 2026 · Serie B · Home2–2
LLostv Cesena29 Aug 2026 · Serie B · Home1–2
LLostat Sudtirol22 Aug 2026 · Serie B · Away0–1
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewv Cesena18 Sept 2026 · Serie B · Home1–1
DDrewat Vicenza Virtus12 Sept 2026 · Serie B · Away1–1
LLostv Pisa6 Sept 2026 · Serie B · Home0–3
WWonat Sampdoria29 Aug 2026 · Serie B · Away2–1
LLostat Palermo23 Aug 2026 · Serie B · Away0–1
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Virtus Entella at home and Juve Stabia away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Virtus Entella
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 6 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
- Last 10 (5)1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 7 scored, 6 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 2
- Home, last 5 (2)0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 4 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Home, last 10 (2)0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 4 conceded · 0.50 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Virtus Entella| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 5 | 1.00 | 1 | 2 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Juve Stabia
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 4 scored, 7 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Last 10 (5)1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 4 scored, 7 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
- Away, last 5 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 3 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 3 scored, 3 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Juve Stabia| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
|---|
Virtus Entella at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Juve Stabia away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Virtus Entella | Juve Stabia |
|---|
| League position | 14th | 17th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 5 and 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 5 and 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Virtus Entella
None reported.
Juve Stabia
None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.32
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.11
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
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Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +6 | 11 |
| 3 | Mantova | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Avellino | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Modena | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +4 | 10 |
| 6 | Ascoli | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | Cesena | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Benevento | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Pisa | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Padova | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Empoli | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 6 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 5 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Juve Stabia | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 3 |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 1 |
| Last 10 (5) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | 1.00 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
W
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L
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3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
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Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
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Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
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W
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L
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L
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Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
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Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
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See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
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Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
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See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
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See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
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Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
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Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
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Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
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Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
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