Wimborne Town vs Havant & Wville prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysis
Draw
24% · price 3.39
Havant & Wville win
24% · price 3.26
Over 1.5 goals
76% · price 1.23
Over 2.5 goals
54% · price 1.78
Both teams score
52% · price 1.65
Expected goals (our model)
Wimborne Town 1.7, Havant & Wville 1.1
League context
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Non League Premier - Southern South, before kick-off.
Wimborne Town sit 12th with 12 points; Havant & Wville sit 21st with 5. A gap of 13 in goal difference, in favour of Wimborne Town; Wimborne Town have played 1 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
11thBerkhamsted13 points from 10 games · goal difference -3
12thWimborne Town12 points from 8 games · goal difference +6
13thGosport Borough12 points from 10 games · goal difference 0
20thChippenham Town7 points from 8 games · goal difference -9
21stHavant & Wville5 points from 9 games · goal difference -7
22ndMalvern Town5 points from 9 games · goal difference -12
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
11
Berkhamsted
10
–
–
–
–
–
-3
13
12
Wimborne Town
8
–
–
–
–
–
+6
12
13
Gosport Borough
10
–
–
–
–
–
0
12
20
Chippenham Town
8
–
–
–
–
–
-9
7
21
Havant & Wville
9
–
–
–
–
–
-7
5
22
Malvern Town
9
–
–
–
–
–
-12
Show full tableShow less
1stPoole Town21 points from 10 games · goal difference +5
2ndPlymouth Parkway20 points from 9 games · goal difference +15
3rdUxbridge20 points from 9 games · goal difference +11
4thHanworth Villa19 points from 9 games · goal difference +9
5thBath City17 points from 9 games · goal difference +5
6thFrome Town15 points from 10 games · goal difference +4
7thChertsey Town14 points from 9 games · goal difference +5
8thTaunton Town13 points from 9 games · goal difference +1
9thChichester City13 points from 9 games · goal difference -2
10thEvesham United13 points from 9 games · goal difference -3
11thBerkhamsted
Wimborne Town: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
WWonv Yate Town29 Sept 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Home4–0
WWonv Bracknell Town12 Sept 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Home2–0
DDrewat Uxbridge31 Aug 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Away0–0
DDrewv Hanworth Villa29 Aug 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Home0–0
WWonat Malvern Town22 Aug 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Away3–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewv Gloucester City15 Aug 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Home1–1
Havant & Wville: recent fixtures
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
DDrewv Hanwell Town29 Sept 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Home1–1
LLostat Bracknell Town19 Sept 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Away1–2
LLostv Poole Town12 Sept 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Home0–1
LLostat Chichester City31 Aug 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Away2–3
DDrewv Gloucester City29 Aug 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Home3–3
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostat Plymouth Parkway22 Aug 2026 · Non League Premier - Southern South · Away1–2
Form, home and away
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Wimborne Town at home and Havant & Wville away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Wimborne Town
Last 5 (5)3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 9 scored, 0 conceded · 2.20 points a game · 5 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Last 10 (6)3 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost · 10 scored, 1 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 5 clean sheets · failed to score in 2
Home, last 5 (4)2 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 7 scored, 1 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Home, last 10 (4)2 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost · 7 scored, 1 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 3 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Wimborne Town
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
3
2
0
9
0
+9
11
2.20
5
2
Last 10 (6)
6
3
3
0
10
1
+9
12
2.00
5
2
Home, last 5 (4)
4
2
2
0
7
1
+6
8
2.00
3
1
Home, last 10 (4)
4
2
2
0
7
1
+6
8
2.00
3
1
Havant & Wville
Last 5 (5)0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost · 7 scored, 10 conceded · 0.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Last 10 (6)0 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost · 8 scored, 12 conceded · 0.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Away, last 5 (3)0 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost · 4 scored, 7 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Away, last 10 (3)0 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost · 4 scored, 7 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Havant & Wville
Sample
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
PPG
CS
FTS
Last 5 (5)
5
0
Wimborne Town at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Havant & Wville away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Team strength, attack and defence
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure
Wimborne Town
Havant & Wville
League position
12th
21st
Points per game
1.50
0.56
Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6)
1.67
1.33
Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6)
0.17
2.00
Clean sheets
5
0
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Squad availability
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Wimborne Town
None reported.
Havant & Wville
None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.