Yambol 1915 vs Sekirovo Rakovski prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Bulgaria - Third League - Southeast
Yambol 1915 v Sekirovo RakovskiHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Yambol 1915 win 71%, Draw 16%, Sekirovo Rakovski win 14%.
Yambol 1915 host Sekirovo Rakovski in the Third League - Southeast, Bulgaria.
Our model gives Yambol 1915 a 71% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Sekirovo Rakovski 14%.
The model expects Yambol 1915 to score 2.7 goals and Sekirovo Rakovski 1.0.
Yambol 1915 have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Sekirovo Rakovski have won 1 of 6.
Top factors
- Yambol 1915 sit 5th with 16 points; Sekirovo Rakovski sit 16th with 5 points.
- Yambol 1915 have taken 12 points from their last 5 matches; Sekirovo Rakovski 3 from 5.
- At home, Yambol 1915 have taken 6 points from their last 3; away, Sekirovo Rakovski have taken 1 from their last 4.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Expected goals (our model)Yambol 1915 2.7, Sekirovo Rakovski 1.0 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the Third League - Southeast, before kick-off.
Yambol 1915 sit 5th with 16 points; Sekirovo Rakovski sit 16th with 5. A gap of 26 in goal difference, in favour of Yambol 1915.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 4th Sayana Haskovo17 points from 8 games · goal difference +9
- 5th Yambol 191516 points from 8 games · goal difference +15
- 6th Gigant Saedinenie13 points from 8 games · goal difference +3
- 15th Atletik Kuklen7 points from 9 games · goal difference -12
- 16th Sekirovo Rakovski5 points from 8 games · goal difference -11
- 17th Levski Karlovo3 points from 8 games · goal difference -14
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 4 | Sayana Haskovo | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 16 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 5 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 8 | – | – | – | – | – |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Levski Krumovgrad24 points from 8 games · goal difference +19
- 2nd Maritsa Milevo21 points from 9 games · goal difference +10
- 3rd Spartak Plovdiv21 points from 8 games · goal difference +10
- 4th Sayana Haskovo17 points from 8 games · goal difference +9
- 5th Yambol 191516 points from 8 games · goal difference +15
- 6th Gigant Saedinenie13 points from 8 games · goal difference +3
- 7th Neftochimic Burgas13 points from 8 games · goal difference +3
- 8th Sozopol13 points from 9 games · goal difference +2
- 9th Rozova dolina12 points from 9 games · goal difference +1
- 10th Rodopa Smolyan11 points from 8 games · goal difference -1
- 11th
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv Neftochimic Burgas26 Sept 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Home0–2
WWonat Atletik Kuklen19 Sept 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Away7–0
WWonv Dimitrovgrad12 Sept 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Home2–1
WWonat Levski Karlovo5 Sept 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Away5–1
WWonv Rodopa Smolyan29 Aug 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Home5–1
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
LLostat Spartak Plovdiv22 Aug 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Away1–3
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat Sozopol26 Sept 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Away2–3
WWonv Lokomotiv Plovdiv II19 Sept 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Home5–3
LLostat Levski Krumovgrad12 Sept 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Away1–6
LLostv Maritsa Milevo5 Sept 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Home0–4
LLostat Gigant Saedinenie29 Aug 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Away1–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewat Botev Plovdiv II23 Aug 2026 · Third League - Southeast · Away2–2
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Yambol 1915 at home and Sekirovo Rakovski away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Yambol 1915
- Last 5 (5)4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 19 scored, 5 conceded · 2.40 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 20 scored, 8 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 7 scored, 4 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 10 (3)2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 7 scored, 4 conceded · 2.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Yambol 1915| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | +14 | 12 | 2.40 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 12 | 2.00 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
Sekirovo Rakovski
- Last 5 (5)1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost · 9 scored, 18 conceded · 0.60 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost · 11 scored, 20 conceded · 0.67 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (4)0 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 6 scored, 13 conceded · 0.25 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
- Away, last 10 (4)0 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost · 6 scored, 13 conceded · 0.25 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0
Sekirovo Rakovski| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
|---|
Yambol 1915 at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Sekirovo Rakovski away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Yambol 1915 | Sekirovo Rakovski |
|---|
| League position | 5th | 16th |
|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.63 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 3.33 | 1.83 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.33 | 3.33 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Yambol 1915
None reported.
Sekirovo Rakovski
None reported.
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Zagorets
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12th Botev Plovdiv II9 points from 8 games · goal difference -213th Dimitrovgrad8 points from 9 games · goal difference -414th Lokomotiv Plovdiv II7 points from 8 games · goal difference -1115th Atletik Kuklen7 points from 9 games · goal difference -1216th Sekirovo Rakovski5 points from 8 games · goal difference -1117th Levski Karlovo3 points from 8 games · goal difference -1418th Maritsa Plovdiv2 points from 9 games · goal difference -12| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
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| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +10 | 21 |
| 4 | Sayana Haskovo | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +15 | 16 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Neftochimic Burgas | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Rozova dolina | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | +1 | 12 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev Plovdiv II | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -11 | 5 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 8 | – | – | – | – | – | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | -12 | 2 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 4 | 0.67 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (4) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (4) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
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