Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GenoaFiorentina
Loading picks…
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
87%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
84%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
80%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
77%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
81%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
89%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
78%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
85%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
86%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
83%win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
· Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Chances of each result: YF Juventus win 36%, Draw 24%, Bellinzona win 39%.
YF Juventus host Bellinzona in the 1. Liga Promotion, Switzerland.
Our model gives YF Juventus a 36% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Bellinzona 39%.
The model expects YF Juventus to score 1.5 goals and Bellinzona 1.6.
YF Juventus have won 4 of their last 6 league matches; Bellinzona have won 1 of 6.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 1. Liga Promotion, before kick-off.
YF Juventus sit 7th with 16 points; Bellinzona sit 18th with 5. A gap of 15 in goal difference, in favour of YF Juventus.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grand-Saconnex | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 7 | YF Juventus | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Basel II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 15 |
| 17 | Luzern II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 5 |
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then YF Juventus at home and Bellinzona away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 13 | 2.60 | 4 | 0 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 13 | 2.17 | 4 | 0 |
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 1 |
YF Juventus at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Bellinzona away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | YF Juventus | Bellinzona |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 18th |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.50 |
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 1.67 | 0.83 |
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 0.67 | 2.50 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 |
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
None reported.
None reported.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biel-Bienne | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 25 |
| 2 | FC Schaffhausen | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Bulle | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Paradiso | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 19 |
| 5 | Cham | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 19 |
| 6 | Grand-Saconnex | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 7 | YF Juventus | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Basel II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Zürich II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Breitenrain | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Amical Saint-Prex | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Kreuzlingen | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Brühl | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Young Boys II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Bavois | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Luzern II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 5 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 14 |
| -10 |
| 4 |
| 0.80 |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 | 0.83 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 2 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 2 |
|---|