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Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysis
Back to today's picks
Sat 09:30 EDT · Wales - FAW Championship
Ynyshir Albions v llanelli AFC Home v Away Home v Away No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances Chances of each result: Ynyshir Albions win 28%, Draw 25%, llanelli AFC win 48%.
Ynyshir Albions host llanelli AFC in the FAW Championship, Wales.
Our model gives Ynyshir Albions a 28% chance of winning, a draw 25% and llanelli AFC 48%.
The model expects Ynyshir Albions to score 1.2 goals and llanelli AFC 1.7.
Ynyshir Albions have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; llanelli AFC have won 0 of 6.
Top factors Ynyshir Albions sit 16th with 13 points; llanelli AFC sit 31st with 2 points. Ynyshir Albions have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches; llanelli AFC 0 from 5. At home, Ynyshir Albions have taken 1 point from their last 1; away, llanelli AFC have taken 0 from their last 3. Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more. Our model's chance for each market, with the bookmakers' average price.
Ynyshir Albions win 28% · price 1.36
llanelli AFC win 48% · price 6.19
Over 2.5 goals 55% · price 1.47
Expected goals (our model) Ynyshir Albions 1.2, llanelli AFC 1.7 Context only Table position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the FAW Championship, before kick-off.
Ynyshir Albions sit 16th with 13 points; llanelli AFC sit 31st with 2. A gap of 22 in goal difference, in favour of Ynyshir Albions; Ynyshir Albions have played 2 fewer.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
15th Carmarthen Town 14 points from 9 games · goal difference +1 16th Ynyshir Albions 13 points from 8 games · goal difference +2 17th Treowen Stars 13 points from 9 games · goal difference 0 30th Gresford Athletic 7 points from 9 games · goal difference -15 31st llanelli AFC 2 points from 10 games · goal difference -20 32nd Penrhyncoch 1 points from 10 games · goal difference -26 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 15 Carmarthen Town 9 – – – – – +1 14 16 Ynyshir Albions 8 – – – – – +2 13 17 Treowen Stars 9 – – – – – 0 13 30 Gresford Athletic 9 – – – – – -15 7 31 llanelli AFC 10 – – – – – -20 2 32 Penrhyncoch 10 – – – – –
Show full table Show less 1st Brickfield Rangers 27 points from 10 games · goal difference +20 2nd Newtown AFC 22 points from 9 games · goal difference +15 3rd Swansea University 21 points from 9 games · goal difference +19 4th Mold Alexandra 20 points from 10 games · goal difference +11 5th Porthmadog 20 points from 10 games · goal difference +6 6th Aberystwyth Town 19 points from 8 games · goal difference +14 7th Pontypridd Town 19 points from 9 games · goal difference +7 8th Bala Town 19 points from 11 games · goal difference +2 9th Caersws 17 points from 9 games · goal difference +7 10th Bangor City 1876 FC 16 points from 10 games · goal difference +5 11th Guilsfield Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
W Won at Treowen Stars 3 Oct 2026 · FAW Championship · Away 2–1
D Drew v Trethomas Bluebirds 26 Sept 2026 · FAW Championship · Home 1–1
D Drew at Carmarthen Town 12 Sept 2026 · FAW Championship · Away 2–2
D Drew at Afan Lido 31 Aug 2026 · FAW Championship · Away 0–0
W Won at Newport City 28 Aug 2026 · FAW Championship · Away 1–0
Show last 6 matches Showing 6 L Lost at Caerphilly Athletic 22 Aug 2026 · FAW Championship · Away 1–2
Partly in the model The model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
L Lost v Baglan Dragons 2 Oct 2026 · FAW Championship · Home 1–2
L Lost at Llantwit Major 26 Sept 2026 · FAW Championship · Away 0–2
L Lost at Caerau (Ely) 11 Sept 2026 · FAW Championship · Away 0–3
L Lost v Treowen Stars 4 Sept 2026 · FAW Championship · Home 0–2
L Lost at Aberystwyth Town 31 Aug 2026 · FAW Championship · Away 0–4
Show last 6 matches Showing 6 D Drew v Carmarthen Town 28 Aug 2026 · FAW Championship · Home 2–2
In the model The model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Ynyshir Albions at home and llanelli AFC away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Ynyshir Albions Last 5 (5) 2 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost · 6 scored, 4 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 Last 10 (6) 2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost · 7 scored, 6 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1 Home, last 5 (1) 0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 1 scored, 1 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Home, last 10 (1) 0 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost · 1 scored, 1 conceded · 1.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 0 Ynyshir Albions Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 2 3 0 6 4 +2 9 1.80 2 1 Last 10 (6) 6 2 3 1 7 6 +1 9 1.50 2 1 Home, last 5 (1) 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1.00 0 0 Home, last 10 (1) 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1.00 0 0
llanelli AFC Last 5 (5) 0 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost · 1 scored, 13 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 4 Last 10 (6) 0 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost · 3 scored, 15 conceded · 0.17 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 4 Away, last 5 (3) 0 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost · 0 scored, 9 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 3 Away, last 10 (3) 0 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost · 0 scored, 9 conceded · 0.00 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 3 llanelli AFC Sample P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG CS FTS Last 5 (5) 5 0
Ynyshir Albions at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
llanelli AFC away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context only Shown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
Measure Ynyshir Albions llanelli AFC League position 16th 31st Points per game 1.63 0.20 Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) 1.17 0.50 Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) 1.00 2.50 Clean sheets 2 0
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the model Missing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Ynyshir Albions None reported.
llanelli AFC None reported.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks Today, Saturday 10 October
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Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all. Updating…
No pick is a sure thing. Football is unpredictable, and no prediction is 100% certain. KickChance predictions are estimates based on available data, not guarantees of an outcome.
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12) Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GEN Genoa L L W D L FIO Fiorentina D W W
16 points from 10 games · goal difference +4
12th Caerau (Ely) 16 points from 9 games · goal difference +3
13th Baglan Dragons 16 points from 10 games · goal difference 0
14th Buckley Town 15 points from 11 games · goal difference +6
15th Carmarthen Town 14 points from 9 games · goal difference +1
16th Ynyshir Albions 13 points from 8 games · goal difference +2
17th Treowen Stars 13 points from 9 games · goal difference 0
18th Afan Lido 12 points from 11 games · goal difference -4
19th Caerphilly Athletic 11 points from 10 games · goal difference -7
20th Trethomas Bluebirds 10 points from 9 games · goal difference 0
21st Rhyl 10 points from 10 games · goal difference -2
22nd Llanuwchllyn 10 points from 9 games · goal difference -10
23rd Pontardawe Town 9 points from 8 games · goal difference -2
24th Ruthin Town 9 points from 11 games · goal difference -11
25th Newport City 8 points from 8 games · goal difference +3
26th Cardiff Draconians 8 points from 7 games · goal difference -3
27th Denbigh Town 7 points from 10 games · goal difference -5
28th Holyhead Hotspur 7 points from 9 games · goal difference -7
29th Llantwit Major 7 points from 8 games · goal difference -13
30th Gresford Athletic 7 points from 9 games · goal difference -15
31st llanelli AFC 2 points from 10 games · goal difference -20
32nd Penrhyncoch 1 points from 10 games · goal difference -26 # Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts 1 Brickfield Rangers 10 – – – – – +20 27 2 Newtown AFC 9 – – – – – +15 22 3 Swansea University 9 – – – – – +19 21 4 Mold Alexandra 10 – – – – – +11 20 5 Porthmadog 10 – – – – – +6 20 6 Aberystwyth Town 8 – – – – – +14 19 7 Pontypridd Town 9 – – – – – +7 19 8 Bala Town 11 – – – – – +2 19 9 Caersws 9 – – – – – +7 17 10 Bangor City 1876 FC 10 – – – – – +5 16 11 Guilsfield 10 – – – – – +4 16 12 Caerau (Ely) 9 – – – – – +3 16 13 Baglan Dragons 10 – – – – – 0 16 14 Buckley Town 11 – – – – – +6 15 15 Carmarthen Town 9 – – – – – +1 14 16 Ynyshir Albions 8 – – – – – +2 13 17 Treowen Stars 9 – – – – – 0 13 18 Afan Lido 11 – – – – – -4 12 19 Caerphilly Athletic 10 – – – – – -7 11 20 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 – – – – – 0 10 21 Rhyl 10 – – – – – -2 10 22 Llanuwchllyn 9 – – – – – -10 10 23 Pontardawe Town 8 – – – – – -2 9 24 Ruthin Town 11 – – – – – -11 9 25 Newport City 8 – – – – – +3 8 26 Cardiff Draconians 7 – – – – – -3 8 27 Denbigh Town 10 – – – – – -5 7 28 Holyhead Hotspur 9 – – – – – -7 7 29 Llantwit Major 8 – – – – – -13 7 30 Gresford Athletic 9 – – – – – -15 7 31 llanelli AFC 10 – – – – – -20 2 32 Penrhyncoch 10 – – – – – -26 1
Last 10 (6) 6 0 1 5 3 15 -12 1 0.17 0 4
Away, last 5 (3) 3 0 0 3 0 9 -9 0 0.00 0 3
Away, last 10 (3) 3 0 0 3 0 9 -9 0 0.00 0 3
L
L
09:00 EDT · Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUG FC Augsburg D L D W W BMU Bayern München W W W D W
Last 5 games
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF 1899 Hoffenheim L L W L L HAM Hamburger SV W W L L L
Last 5 games
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PAD SC Paderborn 07 W W L L D VST VfB Stuttgart W W L L W
Last 5 games
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBE Union Berlin W L L L D ELV SV Elversberg L D L W W
Last 5 games
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMA FSV Mainz 05 W W L W D BLE Bayer Leverkusen W W D W L
Last 5 games
09:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHE Chelsea L D W L W BOU Bournemouth L W D W D
Last 5 games
10:00 EDT · England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MID Middlesbrough D D W L W WOL Wolves W L W D L
Last 5 games
10:00 EDT · England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PRE Preston D L L W L MIL Millwall D D L L W
Last 5 games
10:00 EDT · England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RAN Rangers W W W W W KIL Kilmarnock D W D D L
Last 5 games
10:00 EDT · Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALA Alaves D L L W W AMA Atletico Madrid W W W L L
Last 5 games
10:15 EDT · Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAE GO Ahead Eagles D D D L W SRO Sparta Rotterdam L L D L D
Last 5 games
10:30 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Starting later (8) Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INT Inter W D W L W PAR Parma W L D L L
Last 5 games
12:00 EDT · Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysis Add to slip
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLE RB Leipzig L W L L W EFR Eintracht Frankfurt W D W L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MAN Manchester United D L L W D TOT Tottenham L L D D
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEY Feyenoord W W L W D AAL AZ Alkmaar W L D W
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MAR Maritimo D L L L D POR FC Porto W W W L
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSI Fortuna Sittard W W L W W TWE Twente W W W W
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJA Ajax D W W L W NNI NEC Nijmegen D L L D
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMA Real Madrid L W W W L VIL Villarreal W W L L
D
12:30 EDT · Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
L
12:30 EDT · England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
W
12:45 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
W
13:00 EDT · Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
14:00 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
L
15:00 EDT · Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
15:00 EDT · Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.