Young Boys II vs Cham prediction, Saturday 10 October: chances and analysisBack to today's picks
· Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion
Young Boys II v ChamHomevAwayHomevAway
No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.
Our model's chances
Chances of each result: Young Boys II win 42%, Draw 23%, Cham win 35%.
Young Boys II host Cham in the 1. Liga Promotion, Switzerland.
Our model gives Young Boys II a 42% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Cham 35%.
The model expects Young Boys II to score 1.7 goals and Cham 1.6.
Young Boys II have won 2 of their last 6 league matches; Cham have won 3 of 6.
Top factors
- Young Boys II sit 14th with 11 points; Cham sit 5th with 19 points.
- Young Boys II have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches; Cham 9 from 5.
- At home, Young Boys II have taken 4 points from their last 3; away, Cham have taken 3 from their last 2.
Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.
Key numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.
Our model's chance for each market. No bookmaker prices yet.
Yesterday: 4 of 4 picks won. See every pick
Today's picks
Today, Saturday 10 October
Times shown in your time (EDT)
Draw23%Expected goals (our model)Young Boys II 1.7, Cham 1.6 Context onlyTable position isn't in the model.
Where the teams sit in the 1. Liga Promotion, before kick-off.
Young Boys II sit 14th with 11 points; Cham sit 5th with 19. A gap of 10 in goal difference, in favour of Cham.
Stored before 7 October 2026: wins, draws, losses and goals were not kept.
- 4th Paradiso19 points from 10 games · goal difference +11
- 5th Cham19 points from 10 games · goal difference +3
- 6th Grand-Saconnex18 points from 10 games · goal difference +5
- 13th Brühl11 points from 10 games · goal difference -3
- 14th Young Boys II11 points from 10 games · goal difference -7
- 15th Lugano II9 points from 10 games · goal difference -7
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 4 | Paradiso | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 19 |
| 5 | Cham | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 19 |
| 6 | Grand-Saconnex | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 13 | Brühl | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Young Boys II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 9 |
Show full tableShow less
- 1st Biel-Bienne25 points from 10 games · goal difference +13
- 2nd FC Schaffhausen22 points from 10 games · goal difference +8
- 3rd Bulle20 points from 10 games · goal difference +8
- 4th Paradiso19 points from 10 games · goal difference +11
- 5th Cham19 points from 10 games · goal difference +3
- 6th Grand-Saconnex18 points from 10 games · goal difference +5
- 7th YF Juventus16 points from 10 games · goal difference 0
- 8th Basel II15 points from 10 games · goal difference 0
- 9th Zürich II14 points from 10 games · goal difference 0
- 10th Breitenrain14 points from 10 games · goal difference -2
- 11th Amical Saint-Prex13 points from 10 games · goal difference -8
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostat FC Schaffhausen3 Oct 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Away3–6
LLostv Basel II26 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Home0–2
DDrewat Amical Saint-Prex19 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Away2–2
WWonv Bavois12 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Home2–1
WWonat Biel-Bienne6 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Away4–2
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewv Luzern II30 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Home2–2
Partly in the modelThe model uses each team's last 6 league matches. Cup and other matches here are context.
Matches finished before this one, newest first, with the score from their side.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
LLostv Bulle3 Oct 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Home2–4
WWonat Lugano II26 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Away1–0
WWonv Brühl19 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Home2–1
LLostat YF Juventus12 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Away0–2
WWonv Zürich II5 Sept 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Home4–0
Show last 6 matchesShowing 6
DDrewv Bellinzona29 Aug 2026 · 1. Liga Promotion · Home1–1
In the modelThe model rates each team's home and away records separately.
The last 5 and 10 matches, then Young Boys II at home and Cham away only: a home fixture is read from home matches where there are enough.
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Young Boys II
- Last 5 (5)2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 11 scored, 13 conceded · 1.40 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost · 13 scored, 15 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 5 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 5 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Home, last 10 (3)1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost · 4 scored, 5 conceded · 1.33 points a game · 0 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
Young Boys II| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 5 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Home, last 10 (3) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
Cham
- Last 5 (5)3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost · 9 scored, 7 conceded · 1.80 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Last 10 (6)3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost · 10 scored, 8 conceded · 1.67 points a game · 2 clean sheets · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 5 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 2 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
- Away, last 10 (2)1 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost · 1 scored, 2 conceded · 1.50 points a game · 1 clean sheet · failed to score in 1
Cham| Sample | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | CS | FTS |
|---|
| Last 5 (5) | 5 | 3 |
|---|
Young Boys II at home: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Cham away: Insufficient historical data. Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
Context onlyShown for context. The model's own ratings come from goals scored and conceded this season and last.
| Measure | Young Boys II | Cham |
|---|
| League position | 14th | 5th |
|---|
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.90 |
|---|
| Attack: goals per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.17 | 1.67 |
|---|
| Defence: conceded per game (last 6 and 6) | 2.50 | 1.33 |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
|---|
Stored before 7 October 2026: league matches only.
In the modelMissing players move the model's expected goals, chiefly a missing top scorer.
Players out or doubtful, as reported the night before.
Young Boys II
None reported.
Showing the top 20 of 26 picks, in kick-off order. 6 more are under Show all.Updating…
Starting in 3 to 6 hours (12)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 71%
Average price 1.32
GENGenoaLLWDLFIOFiorentinaDWWLL
Last 5 games
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Fiorentina's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 93%
Average price 1.03
AUGFC AugsburgDLDWWBMUBayern MünchenWWWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
HOF1899 HoffenheimLLWLLHAMHamburger SVWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 87%
Average price 1.07
PADSC Paderborn 07WWLLDVSTVfB StuttgartWWLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 82%
Average price 1.13
UBEUnion BerlinWLLLDELVSV ElversbergLDLW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 84%
Average price 1.11
FMAFSV Mainz 05WWLWDBLEBayer LeverkusenWWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.13
CHEChelseaLDWLWBOUBournemouthLWDW
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 79%
Average price 1.18
MIDMiddlesbroughDDWLWWOLWolvesWLWD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
PREPrestonDLLWLMILMillwallDDLL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
RANRangersWWWWWKILKilmarnockDWDD
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 75%
Average price 1.25
ALAAlavesDLLWWAMAAtletico MadridWWWL
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.09
GAEGO Ahead EaglesDDDLWSROSparta RotterdamLLDL
Starting later (8)
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.08
INTInterWDWLWPARParmaWLD
12th Kreuzlingen12 points from 10 games · goal difference 013th Brühl11 points from 10 games · goal difference -314th Young Boys II11 points from 10 games · goal difference -715th Lugano II9 points from 10 games · goal difference -716th Bavois8 points from 10 games · goal difference -217th Luzern II7 points from 10 games · goal difference -418th Bellinzona5 points from 10 games · goal difference -15| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|
| 1 | Biel-Bienne | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +13 | 25 |
| 2 | FC Schaffhausen | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Bulle | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Paradiso | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +11 | 19 |
| 5 | Cham | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +3 | 19 |
| 6 | Grand-Saconnex | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | +5 | 18 |
| 7 | YF Juventus | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Basel II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Zürich II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Breitenrain | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Amical Saint-Prex | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Kreuzlingen | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Brühl | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Young Boys II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Bavois | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Luzern II | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -4 | 7 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | -15 | 5 |
| Last 10 (6) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 | 1.67 | 2 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 5 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
| Away, last 10 (2) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | 1 | 1 |
|---|
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of FC Augsburg's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
W
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Union Berlin's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of Bayer Leverkusen's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· England - Premier League
Each of Chelsea's last 5 league matches had three or more goals.
L
· England - Championship
Each of Middlesbrough's last 4 home matches had three or more goals.
W
· England - Championship
Each of Millwall's last 8 league matches had two or more goals.
L
· Scotland - Premiership
The model expects Rangers to score 1.9 goals and Kilmarnock 0.9.
L
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Atletico Madrid's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
D
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of GO Ahead Eagles's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
L
L
· Italy - Serie A
Each of Parma's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
Over 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RLERB LeipzigLWLLWEFREintracht FrankfurtWDWLD
Last 5 games
· Germany - Bundesliga
Each of RB Leipzig's last 4 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 83%
Average price 1.12
MANManchester UnitedDLLWDTOTTottenhamLLDDL
Last 5 games
· England - Premier League
4 of Manchester United's last 5 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 85%
Average price 1.10
FEYFeyenoordWWLWDAALAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Feyenoord's last 6 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 74%
Average price 1.25
MARMaritimoDLLLDPORFC PortoWWWLW
Last 5 games
· Portugal - Primeira Liga
Each of FC Porto's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 86%
Average price 1.09
FSIFortuna SittardWWLWWTWETwenteWWWWD
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Fortuna Sittard's last 3 home matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.06
AJAAjaxDWWLWNNINEC NijmegenDLLDL
Last 5 games
· Netherlands - Eredivisie
Each of Ajax's last 7 league matches had two or more goals.
See the full analysisOver 1.5 goals: 2 or more goals in the match
win chance
Our model · Bookmakers: 88%
Average price 1.05
RMAReal MadridLWWWLVILVillarrealWWLLL
Last 5 games
· Spain - La Liga
Each of Villarreal's last 4 league matches had three or more goals.
See the full analysis