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Yesterday's picks

Saturday 10 October

16 of 20 top picks won

Other picks: 4 of 5 won, 1 waiting

Top picks are chosen before kick-off and can't be changed.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price then 1.32

GenoaFiorentina21

· Serie A, Italy

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

87%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 93% · Price then 1.03

FC AugsburgBayern München22

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

85%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 85% · Price then 1.10

1899 HoffenheimHamburger SV23

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

84%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 87% · Price then 1.07

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart02

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

83%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 82% · Price then 1.13

Union BerlinSV Elversberg10

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 84% · Price then 1.11

FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen34

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.13

ChelseaBournemouth51

· Premier League, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

80%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 79% · Price then 1.18

MiddlesbroughWolves10

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price then 1.25

PrestonMillwall01

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price then 1.08

RangersKilmarnock31

· Premiership, Scotland

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price then 1.25

AlavesAtletico Madrid12

· La Liga, Spain

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

85%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 85% · Price then 1.09

Go Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam33

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

81%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price then 1.08

InterParma30

· Serie A, Italy

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

89%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 88% · Price then 1.05

RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt60

· Bundesliga, Germany

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 83% · Price then 1.12

Manchester UnitedTottenham11

· Premier League, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

85%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 85% · Price then 1.10

FeyenoordAZ Alkmaar20

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

78%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 74% · Price then 1.25

MaritimoFC Porto12

· Primeira Liga, Portugal

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

85%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 86% · Price then 1.09

Fortuna SittardTwente11

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

86%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 88% · Price then 1.06

AjaxNEC Nijmegen11

· Eredivisie, Netherlands

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

83%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 88% · Price then 1.05

Real MadridVillarreal10

· La Liga, Spain

See the match

Other picks (6)

Published that day outside the top picks, under Show all.

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 77% · Price then 1.21

SwanseaNorwich21

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Result pending

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 73% · Price then 1.29

Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club

· La Liga, Spain

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

77%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 75% · Price then 1.24

WatfordBurnley04

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 71% · Price then 1.31

DerbyWrexham11

· Championship, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Won

76%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 78% · Price then 1.20

Aston VillaBrentford22

· Premier League, England

See the match

Over 1.5 goals2 or more goals in the match

Lost

75%win chance when published

Our model · Bookmakers 72% · Price then 1.30

LorientParis FC10

· Ligue 1, France

See the match

Our public record starts on 7 Oct 2026.

Back to today's picks

Kick-off , Gaúcho - 3, Brazil

Farroupilha v SC Rio Grande

Final score Farroupilha 2, SC Rio Grande 1.

No pick for this match: no market passed our rules.

Our model's chances

Chances of each result: Farroupilha win 46%, Draw 26%, SC Rio Grande win 29%.

What the data says

Farroupilha host SC Rio Grande in the Gaúcho - 3, Brazil.

Our model gives Farroupilha a 46% chance of winning, a draw 26% and SC Rio Grande 29%.

The model expects Farroupilha to score 1.6 goals and SC Rio Grande 1.2.

Farroupilha have won 2 of their last 5 league matches; SC Rio Grande have won 0 of 5.

Top factors

  • Farroupilha sit 6th with 6 points; SC Rio Grande sit 10th with 0 points.
  • Farroupilha have taken 6 points from their last 5 matches; SC Rio Grande 0 from 5.
  • At home, Farroupilha have taken 3 points from their last 2; away, SC Rio Grande have taken 0 from their last 3.

Chances and prices are from our nightly scan before the match. Nothing after that is used.

Full analysisKey numbers, the table, form, head to head and more.